Executive Highlights
- This morning, Abbott and Bigfoot jointly announced an agreement to develop and commercialize a next-gen version of the FreeStyle Libre sensor into Bigfoot’s automated insulin delivery (pump) and MDI auto-titration systems. The next-gen FreeStyle Libre will remain factory calibrated and continuously transmit glucose data via a “real-time communication technology” (Bluetooth, we assume). Notably, this system will not require fingersticks, removing a major source of real-world user error in automated insulin delivery (AID) systems. Next-gen FreeStyle Libre will maintain the same on-body form factor as the current version (see picture below). Wow!
- Bigfoot anticipates a US pivotal trial in 2018 incorporating the next-gen FreeStyle Libre into its pump+smartphone app automated system. The pivotal timing has been pushed back from the “late 2017” prediction shared a month ago, as this sensor commercial agreement was the last piece of the puzzle. In speaking to CEO Jeffrey Brewer, Bigfoot felt the delay was worth it to get a factory calibrated sensor: “FreeStyle Libre was the obvious choice for Bigfoot given our commitment to reducing the burden of insulin-requiring diabetes.” We’d speculate this puts Bigfoot’s automated insulin delivery commercialization in the roughly ~2019-2020 timeframe although who knows – FDA has been moving fast of late on some transformational technology.
- The timing on MDI auto-titration with next-gen FreeStyle Libre and the Bigfoot/Timesulin dose capture device for pen users still needs to be discussed with the FDA.
- Abbott is the exclusive sensor partner for Bigfoot’s systems in the US, a serious victory for Abbott and a victory for the field as we march toward CGM becoming standard of care for glucose management. Abbott will ship sensors to Bigfoot (economics are unknown), and as expected, Bigfoot plans to bundle everything into a monthly service that is sold to payers and offered to patients with one prescription and one copay for everything. Payers will get a fixed and predictable monthly cost, including an at-risk component based on reducing total cost of care across various populations. Bigfoot is responsible for the PMA submission of the entire Class III systems.
- While this partnership represents a competitive threat for Dexcom- and Medtronic CGM-driven systems, as Abbott now brings factory calibration and extends the compelling FreeStyle Libre sensor (lower cost, great form factor, fully disposable) into the insulin automation realm, we are guessing that availability of the system overall will do more to expand the market overall. Our long-held hunch that Abbott would put continuous communication into Libre has also been confirmed!
- Combined with the Asante pump purchase and acquisition of Timesulin’s injection dose capture device last month, Bigfoot now has all the components needed to commercialize automated insulin delivery for both pumpers and injectors. Assuming it secures approval, Bigfoot will likely have the first closed-loop system driven by a factory-calibrated sensor and leveraging a smartphone app for the user experience (e.g., bolusing) – a massive win for patients and highly differentiated from other pump-based systems in development.
- The real-time “Flash” version of FreeStyle Libre (available in 35+ countries including Canada and Mexico) remains under FDA review following submission almost one year ago. It’s unclear if Abbott will separately commercialize a standalone version of next-gen Libre as a “traditional” CGM. Already, we estimate that hundreds if not thousands of patients in the US are getting Libre from contacts in the EU and this will become far easier shortly since it will be available over the counter in Canada. We think this is less of a threat to those on CGM already and more of an opportunity for market expansion. We do think it will expand the sales cycle overall for CGM.
Abbott and Bigfoot just announced an exclusive agreement to develop and commercialize a next-gen FreeStyle Libre sensor in Bigfoot’s automated insulin delivery systems for both pumps and MDI auto-titration. The “next-gen” FreeStyle Libre sensor will remain factory calibrated, add a real-time communication technology (we would guess Bluetooth), and maintain the same on-body form factor – see the picture below. The Bigfoot system will keep the same planned smartphone app to engage with the automated system. Wow!
Bigfoot plans to initiate a pivotal trial with the next-gen FreeStyle Libre at sites across the US in 2018. This trial is for the pump-based automated system, as timing on the MDI auto-titration system is still to be discussed with the FDA. We assume pre-pivotal trials are likely, likely a mix of inpatient and outpatient studies (per FDA’s AP guidance). The “2018” pivotal timing is a delay from the “late 2017” prediction shared a month ago (itself a delay from “mid-2017”), which is not a surprise – Bigfoot obviously couldn’t begin a pivotal study without a commercial CGM agreement in place. With this deal, we assume timing will be more predictable. If the pivotal runs on time, a launch seems possible in the ~2019-2020 time frame, though that is our speculation. The Bigfoot team took this ~1-year launch delay very seriously – many team members have a direct T1D connection, so every day matters – but ultimately felt the factory calibrated FreeStyle Libre sensor was worth waiting for.
Abbott is the exclusive sensor partner for Bigfoot’s systems in the US, a massive victory for Abbott and a definite loss for R&D partner Dexcom. For both Bigfoot and Abbott, this partnership brings a lot of synergy – enabling a highly compelling insulin automation service driven by a factory calibrated FreeStyle Libre CGM sensor, leveraging Bigfoot’s smartphone app for the system’s user interface (the pump has no screen), embedding the machine learning algorithms into the hardware (it will remain in closed loop even when the phone is out of range), and using cloud connectivity and remote monitoring to make systems safer. All these advantages correct drawbacks in the MiniMed 670G – e.g., 2-4 calibrations per day, clunkier on-body sensor experience, no smartphone component or cloud connectivity, etc. We’re also elated the companies will help BOTH pumpers and injectors.
Abbott will ship sensors to Bigfoot as a component, and Bigfoot will handle the rest, including PMA submission to FDA, shipping the whole system to consumers, and reimbursement. As planned, Bigfoot will bundle everything into a monthly service that is sold to payers and offered to patients with one prescription and one copay for all supplies. In this model, FreeStyle Libre will be included as part of Class III medical device monthly subscription package also including dose capture devices (Timesulin) and/or a pump, Bigfoot’s app for engaging with the system, consumable supplies, remote monitoring, etc. Payers will have “a fixed and predictable monthly cost, one that will be adjudicated efficiently and will include an at-risk component based on reducing total cost of care across various populations.” We love this model for the consumer – let a single company handle supply management and insurance headaches. Given the enormous patient enthusiasm for both FreeStyle Libre (300,000+ worldwide users) and Bigfoot (60,000+ Facebook likes alone!), we expect there will serious interest in both the devices and the far better business model.
We have long had a hunch that Abbott would add continuous real-time communication with FreeStyle Libre, given CEO Miles White’s frequent comments about extending the platform for many users’ needs. This next-gen news opens up several more questions: What else will be different about the new sensor – e.g., Will wear time remain 14 days, or will it need to be shorter to account for continuous communication (a possible battery life tradeoff)? Will next-gen Libre use Bluetooth or a different communication technology? Will Abbott launch this as a standalone CGM product in the US (with alarms), alongside the Bigfoot insulin automated systems? In the EU? Will pricing be consistent with the current version of FreeStyle Libre? Might this next-gen sensor already be at FDA? – this could explain why the company insists on referring to the device as a “flash glucose monitor” outside of the US and a continuous glucose monitor stateside. Abbott did confirm that this development does not alter the plan for launching FreeStyle Libre in the US, pending FDA approval – it was submitted in 3Q16 for both adjunctive and non-adjunctive indications, and CEO Miles White could only share impatience on the last Abbott call.
Bigfoot, less than three years old at this point, has masterfully strewn together two acquisitions – Asante’s pump two years ago and Timesulin’s Dose Capture device last month – and now this sensor partnership completes a product ecosystem to complement the team’s app/software/algorithm expertise (along with business model and operational innovation). Bigfoot’s goal remains to deliver automated insulin delivery/advice to the masses, and now, it’s all about execution on the trial and regulatory fronts. Last month, when Bigfoot CEO Mr. Jeffrey Brewer told us that his team was aggressively pursuing a strategic relationship with a glucose sensor partner, our minds immediately went to Dexcom – the two inked an R&D development agreement back in June 2015. In speaking to Mr. Brewer (see our interview below), the clear tipping point to go with Abbott was the factory calibration – eliminating a key risk in automated insulin delivery systems.
Our hats go off to both the Bigfoot and Abbott teams for striking such a monumental deal in a “relatively short” period of time. It’s outstanding to see another big/small company partnership that will combine hardware, software, and new business models to correct a serious issue in diabetes – safe and effective insulin dosing. Jeffrey Brewer, Bryan Mazlish, and Lane Desborough began with a dream just a few years ago (see our initial December 2014 coverage and Bigfoot’s debut interview in February 2015), and now have assembled parallel systems for pumpers and injectors and a clear path to market. Abbott CEO Mr. Miles White has also made his company’s unwavering commitment to diabetes and FreeStyle Libre very clear – this is a company that could have thrown in the towel after the Navigator saga in the US, and instead, has built a sensor with over 300,000 global users. It is truly amazing to see a CEO of his caliber put so much effort and heart into the public health problem of our time. We can’t wait for these innovative systems to get into patient hands – the sky’s the limit!
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Interview with Bigfoot CEO Jeffrey Brewer
Q: Is the pivotal pushback from “late 2017” to “2018” solely to get the Abbott sensor ready and integrated into the Bigfoot system?
A: The additional time is to align with Abbott’s next-gen timeline and to enhance our design to make best use of Freestyle Libre’s unique and differentiated capabilities.
Q: Are there any regulatory concerns with the FreeStyle Libre factory-calibrated sensor driving insulin automation?
A: We are confident that the use of a factory calibrated sensor in Bigfoot’s automated system will yield a system that can be demonstrated to be safe, effective and easy-to-use. Our hazard analysis and extensive simulations and modeling have identified fingerstick calibration as the biggest risk for an automated insulin delivery system. In the real world, it increases the burden placed on users and is done inconsistently and using poor technique. All closed loop systems that require finger-stick calibration need to accommodate these issues. The use of factory calibrated sensors allows Bigfoot’s systems to avoid these accommodations.
Q: What were the major considerations that went into the decision to go with the Libre sensor?
A: We believe that a factory calibrated sensor will substantially improve our ability to achieve our vision of bringing automated insulin delivery to the broad set of patients and providers who do not currently use technology. Bigfoot’s core mission is to design systems that are simple to use and reduce the burden for patients and the providers that see them. Abbott shares that vision, as evidenced by their differentiated approach to the Freestyle Libre. We believe that Bigfoot’s systems, leveraging Freestyle Libre sensing technology, will fundamentally transform the way diabetes is managed.
Q: What is the expected launch timing - ~2019 for pump+CGM automation and MDI auto-titration?
A: We will be evaluating our commercial timeline based on this new development, working closely with FDA. As a company comprised of so many people directly affected by diabetes, we are impatient and seek to deliver our solutions to market as quickly as possible.
Q: Any change to pump+CGM system design that you’ve shown previously - e.g., smartphone communication, no screen on pump, direct pump-CGM communication?
A: The incorporation of Libre requires no change to the basic architecture, nor the industrial design of the pump. The primary user experience will remain on the smartphone. However, we also will continue to leverage our ability to iterate quickly so as to consistently improve upon our user experience.
Q: What about pricing – we assume the subscription model is still proceeding as planned, but does use of Libre enable a lower price?
A: There is no change to our plans for delivering our solutions as a bundled monthly subscription service with a single prescription and one co-pay. The traditional model of a large upfront purchase with a dozen prescriptions for consumables from various distributors and pharmacies that individual patients must manage and track down serves neither patients, nor providers, nor payers. As such, supply chain management is one of the fundamental innovations on which Bigfoot is focused. Our subscription will offer to payers a fixed and predictable monthly cost, one that will be adjudicated efficiently and will include an at-risk component based on reducing total cost of care across various populations.
Q: What about logistics – will Bigfoot handle everything on sales/shipping/reimbursement and Abbott will simply ship to Bigfoot as a component? Or is Abbott’s involvement larger? (e.g., will Abbott market Bigfoot’s system via sales reps?)
A: Bigfoot will bundle everything but the insulin within this system, with Abbott providing Bigfoot with sensors.
Q: Is Bigfoot responsible for the PMA?
A: No change there. Recall that our automated insulin delivery system is reviewed and approved as a “system.” We do not require prior standalone approvals for any of the components.
Q: How fast did this deal happen?
A: This deal is the culmination of a multiyear evaluation of Bigfoot’s options for sensor partners. While Abbott has moved very quickly and fully supported our process, we took the time to make sure Bigfoot would have a partner that shares our values and vision for a world transformed for people with insulin requiring diabetes. This decision on a sensor partner is one of the biggest Bigfoot will make. We had to get it right.
Deal Details and Recent Coverage
- FreeStyle Libre should make Bigfoot the first player with a closed-loop system that doesn’t require fingerstick calibration to function. The victory for patients here is obvious, but we wonder how FDA will handle this. The Agency has yet to approve the first-gen FreeStyle Libre (submitted in 3Q16) – perhaps in part over questions of accuracy, particularly in hypoglycemia – and we have heard concerns voiced over the operation of closed loop systems without fingerstick calibrations. On the other hand, manual calibration, relying on impeccable and consistent fingerstick technique, can introduce significant and dangerous error into a system – especially false highs stemming from dirty hands. Taking this variable out by moving to factory calibration may increase system safety, even if clinical studies show that some calibrated sensors have marginally lower MARDs. A poster at ADA comparing FreeStyle Libre and the Dexcom G5 found just slightly better accuracy for the G5 (9.6 MAD/MARD vs. 11.0 MAD/MARD for Libre), with slightly better manufacturing consistency for G5 (MAD/MARD range of sensors: 4.8 - 21.6 for G5, 6.9 - 37.2 for Libre). Perhaps this will be addressed by hardware/software updates in the next-gen Libre sensor.
- There are a number of companies working on MDI dose capture or titration alone (Companion Medical’s InPen, Sanofi MyDoseCoach, Novo Nordisk/Glooko, Common Sensing, Voluntis, etc.), but Bigfoot is the first to establish a dedicated commercial CGM partner that will feed continuous glucose data. Based on our insulin dose titration and smart pen/cap competitive landscapes, a number of software companies have entered into agreements with BGM manufacturers, but we haven’t heard of another publicly shared with a CGM company (though we hold no delusion that these talks aren’t ongoing). Insulin titration based on any amount of glucose data will be beneficial, but including CGM – enabling the software to respond to overnight and other excursions – should enhance the efficacy of titration (we’d like to see the study comparing the two from a health economics standpoint!).
- While the partnership is exclusive for Bigfoot, Abbott told us that it will continue to explore other collaborative opportunities (as we would expect). The company continues to view FreeStyle Libre as a platform that is relevant to many different applications for many different types of patients. This is another great foray into the world of partnerships and ecosystem-building for the FreeStyle Libre franchise – other partners include mySugr and Glooko/Diasend. We’re glad to see Abbott understands that it cannot build everything on its own. Abbott currently distributes the standalone FreeStyle Libre consumer (“flash”, real-time) and FreeStyle Libre Pro (non-real-time, retrospective, blinded), and we’ll be fascinated to see how this next-gen versions compares.
- Late last month, Abbott announced that regulatory bodies in Canada and Mexico had approved FreeStyle Libre for non-adjunctive use – reps shared more details on a call: The sensor is expected to be available in both markets in late 3Q17 (September-October). Abbott will leverage a DTC, no-prescription model in both geographies, though two small private payers are on board in Canada (including Manulife). Once Libre launces in Canada and Mexico, it will be available in 37 countries (assuming there are no other launches before September) – the US is the only region in North America whose regulatory body hasn’t yet approved the system.
Close Concerns Questions
Q: When will Bigfoot’s automated insulin delivery and insulin titration products launch? Does this partnership change timing for launch of the auto-titration system (as of last month, this was expected “possibly in 2019”)?
Q: Will Abbott play a role in the sales, marketing, or other aspects of the Bigfoot launches, aside from just providing sensors?
Q: How will FDA view factory-calibrated sensors driving automated insulin delivery?
Q: How much will the two Bigfoot insulin automation services cost on a monthly basis? Will the inclusion of Libre lower previously-projected figures? What will payers think and how will patients/payers tradeoff between the pump vs. MDI versions?
Q: What are the changes introduced in the next generation of FreeStyle Libre? Will it communicate via Bluetooth? Will the wear time change – shorter because of continuous communication or longer because of better technology?
Q: Will the next-gen FreeStyle Libre sensor launch as a standalone product as well?
Q: Who will Abbott partner with next?
Q: Will Bigfoot attempt to enter the EU arena in the near-term? It seems to us that 300,000+ Libre users, and others, might be interested in automating their insulin delivery or having their doses titrated using their current sensor.
Q: How much of a competitive threat is this partnership, particularly for Dexcom and Medtronic?
-- by Brian Levine, Adam Brown, and Kelly Close